Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 47.535615 55.841694 64.903856 75.490687 87.483216 100.609897 116.027204
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 35.385041 46.542674 59.850513 76.740923 97.441671 121.811696 152.481962
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 25.639340 37.086064 51.780816 71.712213 97.684533 129.996081 172.795245
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 21.523937 33.634439 50.124441 73.682740 105.854215 147.567977 204.940843
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 17.681573 29.725999 47.052778 73.010361 109.981654 159.702141 230.366202
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 16.127772 28.806608 47.885121 77.579284 121.304411 181.808042 269.999284
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 12.814633 24.570733 43.205329 73.495527 119.793456 185.909145 284.984147
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 11.525665 23.398713 43.014504 76.002873 127.898961 203.814374 319.978317
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 10.904430 23.259560 44.409023 81.014398 140.004652 228.034740 365.070771
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.885717 22.228046 44.162083 83.281404 147.909820 246.340337 402.264676
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.854134 20.997477 43.401623 84.560689 154.230874 262.456639 436.800192
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.521351 18.940741 40.908115 82.602378 155.069882 270.065888 458.677944
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.500192 17.473619 39.551943 82.928899 160.436709 286.178504 496.267399
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.696309 16.343431 38.733415 84.222355 167.691291 305.977522 541.094871
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.390766 13.740146 34.575626 78.779002 162.680628 305.413939 553.450234
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.935220 13.102634 34.384363 80.909497 171.286978 327.821358 603.865585
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.334870 11.935056 32.858779 80.182337 174.527432 341.225166 639.998007
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.184899 11.975192 34.049830 85.121397 188.699796 374.122128 709.989868
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.507623 10.294274 30.966169 80.706982 184.594645 374.753653 725.414959
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.299728 9.997285 31.175479 83.417704 194.558102 400.826142 785.419788
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.235520 10.156085 32.548564 88.832361 210.234301 437.880935 865.830583
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.043445 9.828515 32.618073 91.280327 220.031968 464.600180 929.093385
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 1.829848 9.361965 32.247870 92.661358 227.699129 487.690292 986.757758